Through three weeks of action in 2023, we are 30-18 (62.5%) in our NFL pick’em article. Though certainly beneath the standard we have established for ourselves in recent seasons, it is worth noting that we have gotten off to slow starts each of the last two years before rebounding for extremely strong results in October, November, and December. This weekend, we have only a handful of teams favored by more than one score, but we do our best to parse the signal from the noise in our rankings below.

In 2021, we led many pick’em participants to championships in their confidence pools with a 181-90-1 (66.8%) season! Last year, we regressed slightly, but rarely missed on our top weekly selections, which meant that a 171-98-3 (63.6%) season was good enough to win the vast majority of tournaments. We had zero weeks in 2022 with a sub .500 record on our recommendations.

2023 Weekly Results

• Week 1: 11-5
• Week 2: 10-6
• Week 3: 9-7

2023 NFL Pick’em

Each week in this article, I will rank each of my selections in order of confidence and provide reasoning on all of my top picks.

As a disclaimer, these picks lock on Thursday afternoon for the purposes of this article, which is of course prior to getting final injury reports for the week. If looking for any last-minute thoughts or wishful changes to these selections, make sure to join the RotoGrinders discord and follow me on Twitter.

NFL Week 4 Pick’Em Pool Confidence Rankings

Week 4 Selections

1. San Francisco 49ers
2. Philadelphia Eagles
3. Kansas City Chiefs
4. Dallas Cowboys
5. Los Angeles Chargers
6. Detroit Lions
7. Jacksonville Jaguars
8. New Orleans Saints
9. Cincinnati Bengals
10. Seattle Seahawks
11. Buffalo Bills
12. Minnesota Vikings
13. Cleveland Browns
14. Indianapolis Colts
15. Houston Texans
16. Denver Broncos