The MLB DFS picks, MLB DFS cheat sheet, and MLB DFS projections for DraftKings & FanDuel in the RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis of the upcoming MLB schedule for Monday, July 19. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on how you can build stacks in the RotoGrinders MLB optimizer – LineupHQ. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, projected ownership, rankings, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Stats cited in the text are since 2020, unless otherwise noted. Park factors are via EV Analytics.
Stackability Rating System:
BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.
MIN vs. CHW
MLB DFS Analysis: (RHP | 189)
12600 DK ( 25.20% of cap) / FD ( 0.00% of cap) / Y ( 0.00% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
| Projections | Rating | Statcast Metrics | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| PlateIQ DK Proj. | 7.90 | Exit Velocity | NA |
| PlateIQ FD Proj. | 17.10 | EV Percentile | NA |
| PlateIQ Y Proj. | 9.70 | Barrel % | NA |
| DK Pts$ | 0.63 | Barrel Percentile | NA |
| FD Pts$ | NA | Statcast Hard% | NA |
| Y Pts$ | NA | Hard% Percentile | NA |
See More Stats Made Simple for MIN vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2019-2021)
| Key Stats vs. L | Rating | Key Stats vs. R | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | NA | Games | NA |
| Expected L | 9.00 | Expected R | 9.00 |
| xFIP L | NA | xFIP R | NA |
| K/9 L | NA | K/9 R | NA |
| BB/9 L | NA | BB/9 R | NA |
| GB/FB L | NA | GB/FB R | NA |
| HR/9 L | NA | HR/9 R | NA |
| Hard% L | NA | Hard% R | NA |
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Does it really matter who is? THE BAT projects his rest of season rates at: 7.82 K/9, 2.78 BB/9, 1.27 HR/9. His control is good and the power prevention should be fine, but we’re not playing him in showdown.
Quick Breakdown: Even if he pitches well, he won’t compile the innings to get the Ks we need.
MLB DFS Analysis: (RHP | -225)
17100 DK ( 34.20% of cap) / FD ( 0.00% of cap) / Y ( 0.00% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
| PlateIQ Category | Rating | Statcast Metrics | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| PlateIQ DK Proj. | 19.00 | Exit Velocity | 88.30 |
| PlateIQ FD Proj. | 34.70 | EV Percentile | 66 |
| PlateIQ Y Proj. | 21.20 | Barrel % | 6.10% |
| DK Pts$ | 1.11 | Barrel Percentile | 73 |
| FD Pts$ | NA | Statcast Hard% | 34.90% |
| Y Pts$ | NA | Hard% Percentile | 73 |
See More Stats Made Simple for MIN vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2019-2021)
| Key Stats vs. L | Rating | Key Stats vs. R | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 62.00 | Games | NA |
| Expected L | 9.00 | Expected R | 9.00 |
| xFIP L | 4.58 | xFIP R | 3.37 |
| K/9 L | 8.81 | K/9 R | 11.87 |
| BB/9 L | 3.47 | BB/9 R | 1.93 |
| GB/FB L | 0.97 | GB/FB R | 0.90 |
| HR/9 L | 0.75 | HR/9 R | 1.27 |
| Hard% L | 34.10% | Hard% R | 35.60% |
See More Stats Made Simple for MIN vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!
I don’t love paying up for pitcher in showdown, but might be an exception. He’s an elite pitcher against RHPs and has been for most of his career. The Twins do have some lefties after the top-two bats that can hurt him enough.
Quick Breakdown: Playing a pitcher in showdown requires a perfect combination of salary, ownership, and projection for me. Not fully seeing it here because it is a high price to pay, but Lynn has the overall skill to make him worth it, as he can get up to seven innings for the complete game. I hit a wall with his vulnerability against lefties and the extremely wide range of outcomes with his Ks. He can strike out two as fast as he can strike out 12.
MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: MIN Batting
| Player | DK Salary | FD Salary | DK Proj | FD Proj | ISO | WOBA (2021) | Barrel% (2021) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8400 | 5.6 | 7.1 | 0.085 | 0.330 | 2.90% | ||
| 14400 | 6.1 | 8 | 0.235 | 0.359 | 18.60% | ||
| 8100 | 5 | 6.4 | 0.156 | 0.328 | 11.40% | ||
| 15300 | 6.3 | 8.2 | 0.241 | 0.387 | 14.20% | ||
| 8700 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 0.175 | 0.314 | 13.00% | ||
| 13500 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 0.174 | 0.322 | 8.10% | ||
| 11700 | 4.8 | 6.3 | 0.228 | 0.320 | 11.50% | ||
| 7500 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 0.187 | 0.282 | 14.70% | ||
| Andrelton Simmons | 6000 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 0.074 | 0.274 | 1.00% |
Break down every MIN vs. CHW hitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium
All of the lefties. Since 2019, Lynn has been extra great because he’s only given up 0.75 HR/9 to lefties, which is a great reason to play him. But the longer history suggests there are, yeah, vulnerabilities. The stack is dangerous because Lynn is really good and rarely gets blown up, while the Sox bullpen is great, but and have double-digit barrel rates and are underpriced.
Optimal Plays – All of the lefties
Secondary Plays – ,
Stackability – YELLOW
MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: CHW Batting
| Player | DK Salary | FD Salary | DK Proj | FD Proj | ISO | WOBA (2021) | Barrel% (2021) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Anderson | 14700 | 7.7 | 9.9 | 0.139 | 0.347 | 6.10% | |
| 13800 | 6.5 | 8.6 | 0.127 | 0.359 | 8.50% | ||
| 15600 | 7.5 | 9.9 | 0.204 | 0.342 | 10.50% | ||
| 10800 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 0.222 | 0.356 | 5.40% | ||
| 11400 | 5.3 | 6.8 | 0.104 | 0.307 | 3.80% | ||
| Andrew Vaughn | 6000 | 6 | 7.8 | 0.19 | 0.320 | 11.10% | |
| 7800 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 0.356 | 0.389 | 13.90% | ||
| 6000 | 5.4 | 6.9 | 0.286 | 0.447 | 15.00% | ||
| 9000 | 4.5 | 6 | 0.167 | 0.320 | 12.00% |
Break down every MIN vs. CHW hitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium
This is a play everyone spot. Especially the supercheap double-digit barrel rates of Andrew Vaughn, , and . , like Burger, has a huge barrel rate over a small sample. They allow us to get in pretty easily. And after that, with a Twins lefty or two, then I could consider the Lynn play over paying up to Tim Anderson or .
Optimal Plays – Everyone
Secondary Plays – Everyone
Stackability – BLUE
Statcast Data referenced above per baseballsavant.com
The MLB DFS picks, MLB DFS cheat sheet, and MLB DFS projections for DraftKings & FanDuel in the RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis of the upcoming MLB schedule for Monday, July 19. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on how you can build stacks in the RotoGrinders MLB optimizer – LineupHQ. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, projected ownership, rankings, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Stats cited in the text are since 2020, unless otherwise noted. Park factors are via EV Analytics.
Stackability Rating System:
BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.
MIN vs. CHW
MLB DFS Analysis: (RHP | 189)
12600 DK ( 25.20% of cap) / FD ( 0.00% of cap) / Y ( 0.00% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
| Projections | Rating | Statcast Metrics | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| PlateIQ DK Proj. | 7.90 | Exit Velocity | NA |
| PlateIQ FD Proj. | 17.10 | EV Percentile | NA |
| PlateIQ Y Proj. | 9.70 | Barrel % | NA |
| DK Pts$ | 0.63 | Barrel Percentile | NA |
| FD Pts$ | NA | Statcast Hard% | NA |
| Y Pts$ | NA | Hard% Percentile | NA |
See More Stats Made Simple for MIN vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2019-2021)
| Key Stats vs. L | Rating | Key Stats vs. R | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | NA | Games | NA |
| Expected L | 9.00 | Expected R | 9.00 |
| xFIP L | NA | xFIP R | NA |
| K/9 L | NA | K/9 R | NA |
| BB/9 L | NA | BB/9 R | NA |
| GB/FB L | NA | GB/FB R | NA |
| HR/9 L | NA | HR/9 R | NA |
| Hard% L | NA | Hard% R | NA |
See More Stats Made Simple for MIN vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!
Does it really matter who is? THE BAT projects his rest of season rates at: 7.82 K/9, 2.78 BB/9, 1.27 HR/9. His control is good and the power prevention should be fine, but we’re not playing him in showdown.
Quick Breakdown: Even if he pitches well, he won’t compile the innings to get the Ks we need.
MLB DFS Analysis: (RHP | -225)
17100 DK ( 34.20% of cap) / FD ( 0.00% of cap) / Y ( 0.00% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
| PlateIQ Category | Rating | Statcast Metrics | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| PlateIQ DK Proj. | 19.00 | Exit Velocity | 88.30 |
| PlateIQ FD Proj. | 34.70 | EV Percentile | 66 |
| PlateIQ Y Proj. | 21.20 | Barrel % | 6.10% |
| DK Pts$ | 1.11 | Barrel Percentile | 73 |
| FD Pts$ | NA | Statcast Hard% | 34.90% |
| Y Pts$ | NA | Hard% Percentile | 73 |
See More Stats Made Simple for MIN vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2019-2021)
| Key Stats vs. L | Rating | Key Stats vs. R | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 62.00 | Games | NA |
| Expected L | 9.00 | Expected R | 9.00 |
| xFIP L | 4.58 | xFIP R | 3.37 |
| K/9 L | 8.81 | K/9 R | 11.87 |
| BB/9 L | 3.47 | BB/9 R | 1.93 |
| GB/FB L | 0.97 | GB/FB R | 0.90 |
| HR/9 L | 0.75 | HR/9 R | 1.27 |
| Hard% L | 34.10% | Hard% R | 35.60% |
See More Stats Made Simple for MIN vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!
I don’t love paying up for pitcher in showdown, but might be an exception. He’s an elite pitcher against RHPs and has been for most of his career. The Twins do have some lefties after the top-two bats that can hurt him enough.
Quick Breakdown: Playing a pitcher in showdown requires a perfect combination of salary, ownership, and projection for me. Not fully seeing it here because it is a high price to pay, but Lynn has the overall skill to make him worth it, as he can get up to seven innings for the complete game. I hit a wall with his vulnerability against lefties and the extremely wide range of outcomes with his Ks. He can strike out two as fast as he can strike out 12.
