The Oscars 2024 race is well underway, with the likes of Oppenheimer, Killers of the Flower Moon, and Barbie hoping to win big at the Academy Awards.
Summary
- The 2024 Oscars are predicted to follow the fresh change in genre and diversity seen in the 2023 Oscars, with great movies and performances expected to be rewarded.
- The likes of Barbie, Poor Things, The Holdovers, and Maestro should all be popular with voters and get nominations in multiple categories.
- However, it's Oppenheimer and Killers of the Flower Moon that will likely be battling for most of the big prizes, including Best Picture.
With the end of 2023 quickly approaching, there are plenty of marvelous movies, exciting performances, great directorial efforts, sizzling screenplays, and so much more that are predicted to receive nominations (and maybe even win) at the Oscars 2024. The nominees and winners at the 2023 Oscars largely offered a fresh change to the Academy’s voting history in relation to genre and diversity, especially with the history made with winners in the acting categories like Michelle Yeoh and Ke Huy Quan. The 2024 Oscars are expected to follow a similar path, ready to reward some of the best movies of 2023, with some highly-regarded stories and performances that aren’t apt to be forgotten.
Awards season is gradually heating up, which means the field of movies that will get Oscar nominations is narrowing slightly, but there's still time of several twists and turns. Predicted nominees like Barbie, Oppenheimer, and Killers of the Flower Moon have already opened wide, but there are several more prestigious films that will fancy their chances. With the Oscars 2024 nominations set to announced in January 2024, let's run through the current predictions for winners, with nominee predictions also outlined. We'll keep this updated as awards season continues to bring new frontrunners and contenders.
Oscars 2024 Key Events | Date |
|---|---|
Nominations voting begins | January 11, 2024 |
Nominations voting ends | January 16, 2024 |
Oscars 2024 nominations announced | January 23, 2024 |
Oscars nominees luncheon | February 12, 2024 |
Oscars final voting begins | February 22, 2024 |
Oscars final voting ends | February 27, 2024 |
The 96th Oscars | March 10, 2024 |
23 Best Picture
Winner: Oppenheimer
Movie | Producers | |
|---|---|---|
1 | Oppenheimer | Emma Thomas, Charles Roven, Christopher Nolan |
2 | Killers of the Flower Moon | Dan Friedkin, Martin Scorsese, Bradley Thomas, Daniel Lupi |
3 | Poor Things | Ed Guiney, Andrew Lowe, Yorgos Lanthimos, Emma Stone |
4 | The Holdovers | Mark Johnson, Bill Block, David Hemingson |
5 | Barbie | David Heyman, Margot Robbie, Tom Ackerley, Robbie Brenner |
6 | Maestro | Fred Berner, Bradley Cooper, Amy Durning, Kristie Macosko Krieger, Martin Scorsese, Steven Spielberg |
7 | The Zone of Interest | James Wilson, Ewa Puszczyńska |
8 | Anatomy of a Fall | Marie-Ange Luciani, David Thion |
9 | Past Lives | David Hinojosa, Christine Vachon, Pamela Koffler |
10 | American Fiction | Cord Jefferson, Jermaine Johnson, Nikos Karamigios, Ben LeClair |
The Oppenheimer vs. Killers of the Flower Moon narrative looks set to define the Oscars 2024, and should also be what defines the Best Picture race. Of course, it's certainly not impossible for other frontrunners and contenders to emerge; something like Barbie would be a popular choice for an Academy looking to be more relevant and attract audiences to the ceremony, while the likes of Poor Things, The Holdovers, and Maestro should have a lot of admirers across the board.
Still, it is difficult to look beyond Oppenheimer and Killers of the Flower Moon right now, both of which have received great acclaim and long been heralded as favorites. With the preferential voting system, too, it's likely both will be high on a lot of ballots. There's plenty of time for this to go back-and-forth before the Oscars 2024 come around, but Oppenheimer, which looks set to dominate in the below-the-line categories and win big in the acting ones, has the edge as it stands. That it was a big winner at the Golden Globes 2024, including Best Drama, helps too, though isn't a guarantee.
Outside the frontrunners, there are several movies jostling for a nomination. Anatomy of a Fall's somewhat surprising Best Screenplay win at the Golden Globe is a good sign for its chances. The Zone of Interest has had some awards season love already, while Past Lives has been a big critics' favorite and American Fiction landed in AFI's top movies of 2023. There is, however, time for the likes of The Color Purple, May December, or even more surprising choices such as Air or Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse to come into play.
Oscars 2024 Best Picture Predictions: Nominees & Winner
The Best Picture race is already heating up for the 2024 Oscars. Here's a prediction for the 10 nominees and which movie will be the winner.22 Best Director
Winner: Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)
Director | Movie | |
|---|---|---|
1 | Christopher Nolan | Oppenheimer |
2 | Martin Scorsese | Killers of the Flower Moon |
3 | Greta Gerwig | Barbie |
4 | Yorgos Lanthimos | Poor Things |
5 | Jonathan Glazer | The Zone of Interest |
Christopher Nolan has, surprisingly, only been nominated for Best Director once (for Dunkirk). In contrast, Martin Scorsese has nine nominations so far, but only one win (for The Departed). They're the two frontrunners in this category at the Oscars 2024, so will the Academy look to give Nolan what many would see as an award not only deserving for Oppenheimer, but also his entire body for work? Or will they look to award Scorsese, with Killers of the Flower Moon also worthy, but also realizing that the master should probably have more than one statue? That's the decision facing voters, and which will decide this race.
There are plenty of other great directors in here: Greta Gerwig does stunning work on Barbie, Yorgos Lanthimos remains a unique voice, and Jonathan Glazer is well-respected but has never been nominated (though could miss out to Alexander Payne for The Holdovers). But again, it's about Nolan vs. Scorsese, or at least that's how awards season and the narratives are shaping up. In the past 10 years, five winners have directed movies that also won Best Picture, so it's an even split on whether it will determine that race. Nolan will likely be seen as due, though, which should be enough, and he has the Golden Globe and a New York Film Critics Circle win to back it up.
Oscars 2024 Best Director Predictions: Nominees & Winner
Best Director is set to be one of the biggest Oscars 2024 races. Here is a prediction for which five directors will be nominated and who will win.
