What is plausibility theory?
Plausibility Theory replaces the Bayesian expected-value calculation with a risk threshold that is more comfortable for most people. ... This new theory still examines the range of possible outcomes but focuses on the probability of hitting a threshold point — such as a net loss — relative to an acceptable risk.
What is the plausibility?
adjective. having an appearance of truth or reason; seemingly worthy of approval or acceptance; credible; believable: a plausible excuse; a plausible plot. well-spoken and apparently, but often deceptively, worthy of confidence or trust: a plausible commentator.